Department of Psychology, Macquarie University, North Ryde, Australia; 2
Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA; 3 Faculty of Health and Medicine, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, Australia.
Controlling for potential placebo effects is an important aspect of gaining an accurate estimate of how much
the therapy alone changes patient symptoms or other end points. When the placebo effect is large, this can
lead to only a small fraction of changes seen in the active therapy group being attributed to the therapy itself.
This problem has beenwell studied in some disorders of brain-gutinteraction but notin functional dyspepsia
where placebo response rates of 40% and higher have been reported. Understanding risk factors for placebo
response might lead to changes in trial design that could reduce the magnitude of the problem. This study
sought to identify risk factors for the placebo effect in a functional dyspepsia clinical trial with a longer-term
aim of suggesting trial design changes that might minimize the problem.
METHODS: A secondary analysis of the clinical trial data was undertaken using 2 arms deemed to involve placebo
therapy. Potential predictors were drawn from a wide range of patient characteristics including
psychological, clinical, and physiological features.
RESULTS: Predictors of a stronger placebo effect on the gastrointestinal symptom rating scale included higher
functional dyspepsia symptom burden at baseline (b 5 20.101), coexisting irritable bowel syndrome (b
5 20.436), and higher scores on the Nepean Dyspepsia Index eat/drink domain (20.005). Baseline
symptom burden and coexisting irritable bowel syndrome were found to be independent placebo
predictors, explaining 13% of the variance in change in gastrointestinal symptom rating scale. Anxiety,
childhood sexual abuse, sleep amount, and frequent abdominal pain were also found to be predictors of
change in individual symptom scores.
DISCUSSION: The findings of this study yield actionable insights into trial methodology that may help to reduce the
magnitude of the placebo effect in future functional dyspepsia treatment trials